Counterfactual skepticism is (just) skepticism

Counterfactual skepticism says that most ordinary counterfactuals are false. While few endorse counterfactual skepticism, the precise costs of view disputed and not generally well-understood. I have two aims in this paper. My first primary aim is to establish, on grounds acceptable all parties, benign. argue it leads significant about future: if true, then we can only very limited knowledge future. give three arguments conclusion, taking as premises principles connecting indicative conditionals disjunctions; linking conditionals. second examine consequences for non-skeptical theories. indicate many but also know them. How be reconciled with real tension between chance? consider solutions, one purely epistemic contextualist. Together they suggest something like contextualism required fully resolve skeptical threat.